Miller says January data points to incremental recovery
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Published: 14-Feb-2011
CapitolBeatOK Staff Report

Published 14-Feb-2011

Note: Here is the January 2011 revenue report for Oklahoma, as summarized in a press release from the office of state Treasurer Ken Miller.  

Oklahoma showed healthy economic activity at the start of the new year demonstrating the recovery is taking hold, State Treasurer Ken Miller said today (Monday, February 14) as he issued revenue reports for January.

Preliminary reports show General Revenue Fund collections in January are $490.3 million. That amount is:

• $79.9 million or 19.5 percent above the prior year; and,

• $23.9 million or 5.1 percent above the estimate.

Encouraging Start to 2011

Miller said monthly state revenue collections have topped prior year collections for almost an entire year.

“In 10 of the past 12 months collections have exceeded the prior year, topping it for nine consecutive months,” he said. “January marks the second month in a row of double-digit growth over the prior year.”

However, Miller said it will take time to see a full recovery. “The recession from which we are emerging was extraordinary in depth and length, so full recovery will not come quickly,” he said. “Our economy has a long way to go before we get back to pre-recession levels. Compared to two years ago, year-to-date revenue collections are down by more than $700 million or 20 percent.”

Miller said personal income tax collections are showing slow growth. “Personal income tax collections are higher than the previous year, but lag slightly behind estimates,” he said. “The lag in employment gains, and the correlating lag in personal income growth, is typical of the early stages of recovery underscoring the need for continued improvement.”

Miller said sales tax collections, which include the final 10 days of the Christmas shopping season, show growing consumer confidence. He said strong oil prices are providing a boost in gross production tax collections, more than making up less than anticipated collections on natural gas production caused by abundant supply and depressed prices.

Motor vehicle collections are up by more than 300 percent for the month, again showing that Oklahomans are feeling more optimistic about the economic recovery and their own personal finances, he said.

January Collections

In January, net income taxes, a combination of personal and corporate income taxes, produced $208.8 million. That figure is $16.4 million or 8.5 percent above the prior year and $5.7 million or 2.8 percent above the estimate.

Personal income tax collections for the month are $193.8 million. That is $5.6 million or 3 percent above the prior year but $2.5 million or 1.3 percent below the estimate. Corporate income tax collections in January are $15 million. That is $10.8 million or 260.2 percent above the prior year and $8.2 million or 121.8 percent above the estimate. Corporate income tax collections often vary substantially from month to month.

The state sales tax produced $147.8 million for the month, which is $17.3 million or 13.2 percent above the prior year and $10.6 million or 7.7 percent above the estimate.

The gross production tax on oil and natural gas yielded $56.9 million for the month, which is $22.2 million or 64.1 percent above the prior year and $10.7 million or 23 percent above the estimate.

Motor vehicle taxes produced $17.3 million in January, which is $13.3 million or 333.9 percent above the prior year and $10.1 million or 140.6 percent above the estimate.

Other revenue, including investment earnings and taxes on insurance, alcoholic beverages and others produced $59.4 million for the month. This is $10.6 million or 21.8 percent above the prior year but $13.2 million or 18.2 percent below the estimate.

Fiscal Year-to-Date Collections

Preliminary reports show General Revenue Fund collections for the first seven months of the fiscal year total $2.855 billion, which is $245.7 million or 9.4 percent above the prior year and $92.1 million or 3.3 percent above the estimate.

Compared to Fiscal Year 2009, two years ago, year-to-date collections are lower by $718.9 million or 20.1 percent.

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